Overall Inflation

Oriental Mindoro’s inflation rate for the bottom 30% income households recorded an annual decrease of 0.1 percent in July 2025 from 2.3 percent increase in June 2025. This brings the provincial average inflation rate for this income group from January to July 2025 to 2.5 percent. In July 2024, inflation rate was higher at 6.1 percent. (Tables 1, 2 and Figure 1)

Main Drivers to the Downward Trend of the Overall Inflation

The decrease in the overall inflation rate for the bottom 30% income households in July 2025 was primarily brought about by the faster annual decline in the index of housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels at 4.3 percent in July 2025 from 5.8 percent increase in June 2025. Food and non-alcoholic beverages also contributed with a faster annual decrease of 0.3 percent from 0.7 percent increment in the previous month.

The personal care, and miscellaneous goods and services also contributed to the downtrend of the overall inflation, registering a slower annual increase of 0.7 percent in July 2025 from 1.0 percent in the previous month. Moreover, slower annual increase in the index of furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance at 1.7 percent in July 2025 from 1.8 percent in the previous month also contributed to the downtrend of the overall inflation in July 2025.

In contract, higher inflation rates during the month were noted in the indices of the following:

a. Alcoholic beverages and tobacco, 11.2 percent from 11.1 percent;
b. Clothing and footwear, 1.6 percent from 1.5 percent;
c. Health, 1.8 percent from 1.1 percent;
d. Transport, -3.5 percent from -3.6 percent;
e. Information and communication, 0.0 percent from -0.4 percent; and
f. Recreation, sport and culture, 5.7 percent from 5.1 percent.

The indices of the rest of the commodity groups retained their respective previous month’s annual growth rates, with financial services registering zero percent annual rate in July 2025. (Figure 2)

Main Contributors to the July 2025 Overall Inflation

The following commodity groups were the top three contributors to the July 2025 overall inflation for the bottom 30% income households of the province:

a. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels with 465.2 percentage share or -0.47 percentage points;
b. Transport with 117.1 percentage share or -0.12 percentage points; and
c. Food and non-alcoholic beverages with 80.5 percentage share or -0.08 percentage points.

Food Inflation

Food inflation for the bottom 30% income households in Oriental Mindoro posted a decrease of 0.7 percent in July 2025 from 0.4 percent increase in the previous month. In July 2024, food inflation was observed at 3.3 percent. (Table 3)

Main Drivers to the Downward Trend of Food Inflation

The decrement in the food inflation was mainly due to the faster annual decline in the index of rice at 16.6 percent during the month from 14.8 percent in June 2025. The year-on-year decrease recorded in the index of vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses at 0.2 percent in July 2025 from 2.9 percent annual increase in the previous month also contributed to the downtrend in food inflation. In addition, slower annual increase of 17.7 percent during the month from 18.7 percent in June 2025 was observed in the meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals index.

Moreover, the corn index showed a slower increase during the month with 4.1 percent from 8.5 percent in June 2025. Ready-made food and other food products n.e.c. also noted a slower increase during the month with 2.3 percent from 3.0 percent in June 2025.

INFLATION RATE BY FOOD GROUP

In contrast, higher annual increases were noted in the following food groups:

a. Flour, bread and other bakery products, pasta products, and other cereals, 1.5 percent from 1.2 percent;
b. Fish and other seafood, 3.4 percent from 3.3 percent;
c. Oils and fats, 36.9 percent from 32.5 percent;
d. Fruits and nuts, 13.7 percent from 12.8 percent; and
e. Sugar, confectionery and desserts, 1.2 percent from 1.1 percent.
(Figure 3 and Table 3)

Main Contributors to Food Inflation

Food inflation contributed 130.7 percent or -0.13 percentage point to the July 2025 overall inflation of the bottom 30% income households.

Among the food groups, the three main contributors to the food inflation during the month were the following:

a. Cereals and cereal products, which includes rice, corn, and flour, bread and other bakery products, pasta products, and other cereals, with 895.5 percent share or -6.27 percentage points;
b. Vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses with 3.3 percent share or -0.02 percentage point; and
c. Sugar, confectionery and desserts with -7.6 percent share or 0.05 percentage point.

(SGD) CHARLYN ROMERO-CANTOS, PhD
(Chief Administrative Officer)
Officer-in-Charge
Oriental Mindoro Provincial Statistical Office

HTD/JGO

TECHNICAL NOTES

Consumer Price Index is an indicator of the change in the average prices of a fixed basket of goods and services commonly purchased by households relative to a base year.

Market Basket is a sample of goods and services, which is meant to represent the totality of all the goods and services purchased by households relative to a base year.

• To determine the commodities that will form the market basket for the 2018-based CPI, the Survey of Key Informants (SKI) was conducted in March 2021. The survey, which was conducted nationwide to store managers, sellers or proprietors, obtained information on the most commonly purchased of goods and availed of services by the households.

• Base year is a reference period, usually a year, at which the index number is set to 100. It is the reference point of the index number series. The CPI is rebased from base year 2012 to base year 2018.

• Inflation Rate is the annual rate of change or the year-on-year change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

• Purchasing Power of Peso is a measure of the real value of the peso in a given period relative to  chosen reference period. It is computed by getting the reciprocal of the CPI and multiplying the result by 100