Headline Inflation

Oriental Mindoro’s inflation rate for the bottom 30% income households increased further to 3.2 percent in April 2025 from 3.0 percent in March 2025. This brings the provincial average inflation rate for this income group from January to April 2025 to 3.4 percent. In April 2024, inflation rate was posted at 3.5 percent. (Tables 1, 2 and Figure 1)

Main Drivers to the Upward Trend of the Headline Inflation

The uptrend in the overall inflation for the bottom 30% income households in April 2025 was primarily brought about by the faster annual increase in the index of heavily-weighted food and non-alcoholic beverages at 1.7 percent during the month from 1.0 percent in March 2025. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels also contributed to the higher inflation rate after its index posted an annual increase of 8.1 percent in April 2025 from a 7.9 percent annual increment in the previous month.

In addition, faster annual growth rates were noted in the indices of personal care, and miscellaneous goods and services at 1.8 percent during the month from 1.7 percent in March 2025, and clothing and footwear at 1.7 percent in April 2025 from 1.6 percent last month.

On the contrary, lower inflation rates were observed in the following commodity groups during the month:

a. Alcoholic beverages and tobacco, 12.7 percent from 12.9 percent;
b. Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance, 0.2 percent from 0.6 percent;
c. Health, 0.9 percent from 1.1 percent; and
d. Recreation, sport and culture, 4.0 percent from 4.6 percent.

Moreover, faster annual decrease in the index of transport at 4.7 percent was observed during the month from a 2.6 percent decrement in March 2025.

The indices of the rest of the commodity groups retained their respective previous month’s annual growth rates. (Figure 2)

Main Contributors to the April 2025 Headline Inflation

The following commodity groups were the top three contributors to the April 2025 overall inflation for the bottom 30% income households of the province:

a. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels with 43.4 percentage share or 1.39 percentage points;
b. Alcoholic beverages and tobacco, 27.7 percent share or 0.89 percentage point; and
c. Food and non-alcoholic beverages with 25.0 percent share or 0.80 percentage point.

Food Inflation

Food inflation for the bottom 30% income households in Oriental Mindoro moved at a faster pace of 1.5 percent in April 2025 from 0.8 percent in the previous month. In April 2024, food inflation was higher at 3.6 percent. (Table 3)

Main Drivers to the Upward Trend of Food Inflation

The acceleration of food inflation in April 2025 was primarily due to the slower annual decline in the index of rice at 11.4 percent during the month from its annual decrease of 15.0 percent in March 2025. Moreover, faster annual increase in the index of fruits and nuts at 15.3 percent during the month from a 7.1 percent year-on-year increment in March 2025 also contributed to the uptrend of the food inflation.

In addition, higher inflation rates during the month were noted in the following food groups:

a. corn, 3.3 percent from 1.9 percent;
b. milk, other dairy products and eggs, 2.7 percent from 2.4 percent; and
c. vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses, 7.7 percent from 7.0 percent.

INFLATION RATE BY FOOD GROUP

In contrast, lower annual increases were noted in the following food groups:

a. flour, bread and other bakery products and pasta products, 1.2 percent from 1.6 percent;
b. meat and other parts of slaughtered land animals, 17.0 percent from 22.0 percent;
c. fish and other seafood, 2.7 percent from 5.1 percent;
d. oils and fats, 28.0 percent from 30.4 percent; and
e. sugar, confectionery and desserts, 1.6 percent from 1.9 percent.

The index of ready-made food and other food products n.e.c. retained its previous month’s annual growth rate. (Figure 3 and Table 3))

Main Contributors to Food Inflation

Food inflation contributed 21.4 percent or 0.68 percentage point to the April 2025 overall inflation of the bottom 30% income households.

Among the food groups, the main contributors to the food inflation during the month were the following:

a. meat and other parts of slaughtered land animal with 185.3 percent share or 2.78 percentage points;
b. fruits and nuts with 43.9 percent share or 0.66 percentage point; and
c. vegetables, tubers, plantains, cooking bananas and pulses with 39.1 percent share or 0.59 percentage point.

(SGD) CHARLYN ROMERO-CANTOS, PhD
(Chief Administrative Officer)
Officer-in-Charge
Oriental Mindoro Provincial Statistical Office

HTD/JGO

TECHNICAL NOTES

Consumer Price Index is an indicator of the change in the average prices of a fixed basket of goods and services commonly purchased by households relative to a base year.

Market Basket is a sample of goods and services, which is meant to represent the totality of all the goods and services purchased by households relative to a base year.

• To determine the commodities that will form the market basket for the 2018-based CPI, the Survey of Key Informants (SKI) was conducted in March 2021. The survey, which was conducted nationwide to store managers, sellers or proprietors, obtained information on the most commonly purchased of goods and availed of services by the households.

• Base year is a reference period, usually a year, at which the index number is set to 100. It is the reference point of the index number series. The CPI is rebased from base year 2012 to base year 2018.

• Inflation Rate is the annual rate of change or the year-on-year change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

• Purchasing Power of Peso is a measure of the real value of the peso in a given period relative to  chosen reference period. It is computed by getting the reciprocal of the CPI and multiplying the result by 100